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AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?

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57.50%
57.0% calibrated
Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29OctoberSat 03Mon 05Wed 07102030405060708090100%57.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 35.5% in 14d (25.2–47.3%)-0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$13.6K
Momentum
-0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 57.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price57.50%
Spread + depth+1.25 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability58.75%
1702
Shares
$702
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.7%)
Mid Price
57.5¢
Total Depth
$21,858
Bid/Ask Imbalance
45% bid
Bids (Buy)
57.0¢494
56.0¢3,271
55.0¢7,738
54.0¢1,356
53.0¢606
52.0¢390
49.0¢739
48.0¢500
Asks (Sell)
58.0¢432
59.0¢2,981
60.0¢2,829
61.0¢1,659
62.0¢500
63.0¢500
64.0¢38
65.0¢1,150
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
58.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
58.75¢+1.29%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
68.64¢+18.34%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 57.50%, based on $13.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around July 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.