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Culture · Polymarket

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?

Trade on Polymarket →
29.00%
03:3004 PM04:3005 PM05:3006 PM06:3007 PM07:3008 PM08:3009 PM09:302628303234363840424446%29.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$16.9K

Your call

The market says 29.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price29.00%
Spread + depth+48.06 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability77.06%
1298
Shares
$298
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
42.0¢ (144.8%)
Mid Price
29.0¢
Total Depth
$723
Bid/Ask Imbalance
9% bid
Bids (Buy)
8.0¢59
7.0¢50
6.0¢6
5.0¢150
4.0¢250
3.0¢477
2.0¢625
1.0¢1,397
Asks (Sell)
50.0¢10
58.0¢10
60.0¢10
67.0¢63
68.0¢100
69.0¢209
80.0¢81
82.0¢180
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
65.24¢+30.48%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
77.06¢+54.12%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
77.06¢+54.12%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by October 31?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 29.00%, based on $16.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.