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Culture · Polymarket

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Trade on Polymarket →
95.75%
Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 1965707580859095100%95.75%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 96.8% in 14d (94.3–98.3%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$4.2K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 95.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price95.75%
Spread + depth+0.69 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability96.44%
1037
Shares
$37
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.7¢ (0.7%)
Mid Price
95.8¢
Total Depth
$187,971
Bid/Ask Imbalance
18% bid
Bids (Buy)
95.4¢7
95.3¢14
95.1¢50
95.0¢1,151
94.9¢200
94.7¢622
94.5¢565
94.4¢947
Asks (Sell)
96.1¢62
96.2¢10
96.4¢393
96.5¢879
96.8¢546
96.9¢809
97.0¢100
97.1¢651
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
96.20¢+0.11%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
96.44¢+0.35%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
98.04¢+2.02%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 95.75%, based on $4.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.