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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
30.00%
Live Bitcoin Price$81,550▲ 5.40% 24h· via CoinGecko
09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 0203 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMThu 0303 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM1520253035404550556065%21.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$54.3K

Your call

The market says 30.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price30.00%
Spread + depth+63.52 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability93.52%
1069
Shares
$69
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
13.0¢ (60.5%)
Mid Price
21.5¢
Total Depth
$7,861
Bid/Ask Imbalance
78% bid
Bids (Buy)
15.0¢176
8.0¢800
7.0¢9,115
6.0¢257
5.0¢775
4.0¢1,169
3.0¢61,698
2.0¢2,224
Asks (Sell)
28.0¢7
92.0¢7
93.0¢800
97.0¢1,006
99.0¢40
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
88.83¢+217.25%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
93.52¢+233.99%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
95.04¢+239.43%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 30.00%, based on $54.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.