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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15?

Trade on Polymarket →
12.25%
Live Bitcoin Price$76,078▼ 3.02% 24h· via CoinGecko
06:3007 AM07:3008 AM08:3009 AM09:3010 AM10:3011 AM11:3012 PM12:3001 PM01:3002 PM02:30024681012141618202224%19.95%

Stats

24h Volume
$9.8K

Your call

The market says 12.3%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price12.25%
Spread + depth+8.35 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability20.60%
4854
Shares
$3,854
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.7¢ (3.5%)
Mid Price
20.3¢
Total Depth
$153,663
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
19.9¢7
13.0¢400
12.9¢75
11.9¢400
11.8¢3,000
10.7¢550
9.3¢820
6.0¢400
Asks (Sell)
20.6¢4,970
21.3¢3,000
21.4¢30
22.6¢28
25.0¢5
28.0¢280
29.6¢420
33.6¢2,240
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
20.60¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
20.60¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
47.04¢+128.34%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 15?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 12.25%, based on $9.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.