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Finance · Polymarket

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
13.75%
Live Bitcoin Price$86,858▲ 1.53% 24h· via CoinGecko
Sat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PMTue 2912 PMWed 300102030405060708090100%13.80%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 0.2% in 7d (0.1–0.6%)-0.11pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$35.7K
Momentum
-0.11pt/day

Your call

The market says 13.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price13.75%
Spread + depth+0.72 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability14.47%
6913
Shares
$5,913
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.7%)
Mid Price
13.8¢
Total Depth
$333,154
Bid/Ask Imbalance
1% bid
Bids (Buy)
13.7¢12
12.8¢570
12.7¢10
12.6¢100
12.1¢570
12.0¢10
11.6¢100
11.2¢6,135
Asks (Sell)
13.8¢91
13.9¢5
14.0¢10
14.3¢35
14.4¢6,060
14.9¢14,654
15.0¢183
15.1¢420
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
14.31¢+3.68%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
14.44¢+4.66%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
22.67¢+64.28%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 13.75%, based on $35.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.