Entertainment · Polymarket

Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?

6.50%

Model projection: 3.2% in 2d (2.5–4.2%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 93.5% on "Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?", backed by $407 in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $407
Momentum: -0.02pt/day

Your call

The market says 6.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price6.50%

Spread + depth+52.45 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability58.95%

1696

$696

Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

9.0¢ (163.6%)

Mid Price

5.5¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$951

Bid/Ask Imbalance

0% bid

Bids (Buy)

1.0¢8

Asks (Sell)

10.0¢130

15.0¢45

16.0¢90

17.0¢100

20.0¢125

65.0¢100

66.0¢100

69.0¢400

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

18.98¢+89.77%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

58.95¢+489.51%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

$10,000 order

58.95¢+489.51%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 8m?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.50%, based on $407 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.