Entertainment · Polymarket

Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?

Q: What is the current probability for "Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 11%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Q: Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket — see the link on this page for the live order book.

Trade on Polymarket →

15.50%

Model projection: 11.4% in 2d (8.8–14.7%)-0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 84.5% on "Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?", backed by $1.0K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $1.0K
Momentum: -0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 15.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?

Take a position

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price15.50%

Spread + depth+45.91 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability61.41%

1628

$628

Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

2.0¢ (12.5%)

Mid Price

16.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$1,101

Bid/Ask Imbalance

3% bid

Bids (Buy)

15.0¢60

14.0¢25

10.0¢62

7.0¢23

6.0¢100

4.0¢8

3.0¢59

2.0¢260

Asks (Sell)

17.0¢13

18.0¢40

19.0¢40

20.0¢105

22.0¢20

23.0¢20

24.0¢45

25.0¢20

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

24.19¢+42.31%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

61.41¢+261.24%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

62.92¢+270.13%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will "By Any Means" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 4m and 5m?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 15.50%, based on $1.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.