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Culture · Polymarket

Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
70.50%
Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16354045505560657075808590%70.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 72.6% in 14d (60.1–82.3%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$1.7K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 70.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price70.50%
Spread + depth+1.61 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability72.11%
1387
Shares
$387
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
70.5¢
Total Depth
$51,151
Bid/Ask Imbalance
7% bid
Bids (Buy)
70.0¢577
69.0¢40
66.0¢30
65.0¢115
55.0¢166
47.0¢450
38.0¢50
21.0¢4,286
Asks (Sell)
71.0¢671
72.0¢597
73.0¢23
75.0¢69
94.0¢10,000
96.0¢18
98.0¢17,506
99.0¢20,005
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
71.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
72.11¢+1.56%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
91.23¢+28.49%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $168 in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 70.50%, based on $1.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.