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Culture · Polymarket

Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next?

Trade on Polymarket →
86.50%
Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15556065707580859095100%86.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 88.7% in 14d (84.3–91.9%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$107
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 86.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price86.50%
Spread + depth+12.29 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability98.79%
1012
Shares
$12
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
23.0¢ (26.6%)
Mid Price
86.5¢
Total Depth
$274
Bid/Ask Imbalance
40% bid
Bids (Buy)
75.0¢70
53.0¢100
40.0¢5
3.0¢15
2.0¢41
1.0¢13
Asks (Sell)
98.0¢35
99.0¢132
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
98.66¢+0.67%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
98.79¢+0.81%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
98.79¢+0.81%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Islam Makhachev fight Carlos Prates next?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 86.50%, based on $107 in tracked 24h trading volume.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.