Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Culture · Polymarket

Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?

Trade on Polymarket →
38.50%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 150102030405060%38.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 34.0% in 14d (26.0–43.1%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$20
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 38.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price38.50%
Spread + depth+6.61 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability45.11%
2217
Shares
$1,217
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.6%)
Mid Price
38.5¢
Total Depth
$1,292
Bid/Ask Imbalance
45% bid
Bids (Buy)
38.0¢493
37.0¢668
36.0¢40
34.0¢20
29.0¢16
21.0¢21
20.0¢200
15.0¢20
Asks (Sell)
39.0¢626
40.0¢690
41.0¢40
46.0¢20
50.0¢21
51.0¢30
96.0¢14
97.0¢48
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
39.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.11¢+15.67%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
45.11¢+15.67%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Similar Culture Markets

Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 324H
36.50%+174

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

36.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $58.7K
Polymarket logoPolymarket
▲ 5.624H
90.60%-964

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?

90.60%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $43.3K
Manifold logoManifold
29.09%+244

Will I get a positive pregnancy test in the next two weeks?

29.09%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 1.4K Mana
Manifold logoManifold
8.26%+1111

Will my brother start reading Harry Potter in the next week?

8.26%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 1.2K Mana
Manifold logoManifold
26.41%+279

Will a manifolder report on the Oreo chicken burger in the next month?

26.41%Live price only —
no history published
VOL 290 Mana
Polymarket logoPolymarket
15.50%+545

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

15.50%Live price only —
no history published
VOL $690.2K

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Magomed Ankalaev fight Carlos Ulberg next?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 38.50%, based on $20 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around May 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.