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Culture · Polymarket

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
83.05%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 157476788082848688%83.05%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 83.2% in 14d (81.5–84.7%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$10.7K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.1%)
Mid Price
83.0¢
Total Depth
$795,876
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
83.0¢17
82.5¢10
82.2¢41
82.1¢346
82.0¢1,911
81.9¢138
81.8¢1,520
81.7¢100
Asks (Sell)
83.1¢406
83.2¢4,306
83.3¢730
83.4¢48,795
83.6¢55
83.9¢125
84.0¢2,400
84.1¢9,414
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
83.10¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
83.17¢+0.08%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
83.31¢+0.26%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

LimitlessPochettino to leave as USA head coach by August 31, 2026?
100.00%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 83.05%, based on $10.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.