Entertainment · Polymarket

Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?

Q: What is the current probability for "Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 91%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Q: Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket — see the link on this page for the live order book.

91.00%

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 91% on "Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?", backed by $3.6K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $3.6K

Your call

The market says 91.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?

Take a position

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side

Order

PolymarketLive order book

Quoted price91.00%

Spread + depth+1.80 pts

Fee0.00% of stake

Break-even probability92.80%

1078

$78

Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

2.0¢ (2.2%)

Mid Price

91.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$14,543

Bid/Ask Imbalance

24% bid

Bids (Buy)

90.0¢40

89.0¢650

88.0¢625

87.0¢1,000

86.0¢288

85.0¢11

84.0¢120

82.0¢508

Asks (Sell)

92.0¢217

93.0¢937

94.0¢865

95.0¢919

96.0¢1,834

97.0¢1,715

98.0¢2,728

99.0¢2,216

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

92.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

92.80¢+0.87%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

96.42¢+4.80%

avg fill · slippage

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 6th Weekend Box Office be at least 15m?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 91.00%, based on $3.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.