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Culture · Polymarket

Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 4, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
14.80%
12 PMWed 2612 PMThu 2712 PMFri 2812 PMSat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PM051015202530354045%14.70%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 9.1% in 5d (3.8–20.4%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$5
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
29.0¢ (197.3%)
Mid Price
14.7¢
Total Depth
$33,153
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.2¢216
0.1¢161
Asks (Sell)
29.2¢10
29.3¢43
29.7¢20
31.1¢30
31.2¢41
49.2¢195
49.3¢100
49.5¢405
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
38.66¢+32.39%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
61.82¢+111.71%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.66¢+210.49%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?
45.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the next Mythos-Class model be released on September 4, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 14.80%, based on $5 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 4, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.