Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
Trade on Polymarket →Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 73.5% on "Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?", backed by $1.9K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $1.9K
- Momentum
- -0.02pt/day
Your call
The market says 26.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.
Live Order Book Depth
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
no history published
Manifold
Will Iran strike US military base at least once before November?
no history published
ManifoldWill silver outperform gold over the next week?
no history published
ManifoldWill I exercise every single day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
no history published
ManifoldWill I ban mobile devices from my bedroom next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
no history published
ManifoldWill I avoid media and distracting apps before 1 p.m. every day next week? (Ṁ10 Bonus)
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 26.50%, based on $1.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.