Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Politics · Polymarket

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?

Trade on Polymarket →
37.00%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 132030405060708090100%37.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$48.1K

Your call

The market says 37.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price37.00%
Spread + depth+3.84 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability40.84%
2449
Shares
$1,449
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
4.0¢ (10.8%)
Mid Price
37.0¢
Total Depth
$16,218
Bid/Ask Imbalance
12% bid
Bids (Buy)
35.0¢10
34.0¢46
33.0¢381
32.0¢15
31.0¢90
30.0¢400
29.0¢200
28.0¢209
Asks (Sell)
39.0¢105
40.0¢1,723
41.0¢96
42.0¢15
43.0¢15
44.0¢531
45.0¢2,204
46.0¢1,273
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
39.58¢+1.50%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
40.84¢+4.71%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
55.75¢+42.96%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 37.00%, based on $48.1K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 13, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.