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Culture · Polymarket

Will there be no next Mythos-Class model release by September 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
6.50%
Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 130510152025303540455055%6.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 0.6% in 14d (0.4–0.9%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$25
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (15.4%)
Mid Price
6.5¢
Total Depth
$37,090
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
6.0¢35
5.0¢116
4.0¢120
3.0¢535
2.0¢201
1.0¢10
Asks (Sell)
7.0¢37
8.0¢211
9.0¢20
10.0¢24
13.0¢10
17.0¢5
20.0¢22
28.0¢14
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
18.21¢+160.16%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
52.99¢+656.97%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.15¢+1159.32%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill deepseek v5 release in september 2026?
3.24%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will there be no next Mythos-Class model release by September 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 6.50%, based on $25 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.