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Culture · Polymarket

Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.05%
09 PMSeptember03 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMWed 0203 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM00.511.522.53%0.05%

Stats

24h Volume
$122.0K

Your call

The market says 0.1%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price0.50%
Spread + depth+0.91 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability1.41%
70724
Shares
$69,724
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
—
Mid Price
—
Total Depth
$13,847
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
Asks (Sell)
0.1¢17,729
0.2¢25,000
0.3¢25,000
0.4¢320
0.5¢320
1.0¢50
8.9¢80
9.0¢149
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
0.19¢+86.96%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
1.41¢+1313.95%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
12.37¢+12266.94%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 10 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Carlos Alcaraz
37.50%
Alexander Zverev
22.10%
Daniil Medvedev
5.15%
Alex de Minaur
2.15%
Alex Michelsen
0.60%
Karen Khachanov
0.15%
Valentin Vacherot
0.15%
Tomas Martin EtcheverryViewing
0.05%
Hubert Hurkacz
0.05%
Rafael Jodar
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🎾 Will an American man reach the 2026 US Open men's singles final?
33.62%
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Tomas Martin Etcheverry win the 2026 Men's US Open?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.05%, based on $122.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 13, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.