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Entertainment · Polymarket

Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?

Trade on Polymarket →
25.00%
Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 1910203040506070%25.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 23.4% in 14d (17.9–30.0%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$258
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 25.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price25.00%
Spread + depth+18.85 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability43.85%
2281
Shares
$1,281
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (8.0%)
Mid Price
25.0¢
Total Depth
$2,471
Bid/Ask Imbalance
17% bid
Bids (Buy)
24.0¢551
23.0¢378
22.0¢541
21.0¢227
20.0¢137
1.0¢12
Asks (Sell)
26.0¢45
27.0¢318
28.0¢333
29.0¢134
30.0¢125
31.0¢195
32.0¢137
33.0¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
26.90¢+3.47%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.85¢+68.65%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
60.76¢+133.70%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 25.00%, based on $258 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 14, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.