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Culture · Polymarket

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Trade on Polymarket →
34.00%
Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27203040506070%34.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 27.7% in 14d (24.4–31.4%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$36.8K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 34.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price34.00%
Spread + depth+3.21 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability37.21%
2687
Shares
$1,687
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (5.9%)
Mid Price
34.0¢
Total Depth
$396,976
Bid/Ask Imbalance
4% bid
Bids (Buy)
33.0¢50
32.0¢694
31.0¢274
30.0¢1,370
29.0¢811
28.0¢109
27.0¢543
26.0¢932
Asks (Sell)
35.0¢150
36.0¢624
37.0¢761
38.0¢808
39.0¢1,331
40.0¢1,036
41.0¢961
42.0¢1,482
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
35.47¢+1.34%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
37.21¢+6.32%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
47.76¢+36.45%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Trump and Putin not meet?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 34.00%, based on $36.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.