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Culture · Polymarket

Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?

Trade on Polymarket →
93.70%
Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 07Tue 08Wed 09Thu 10Fri 11Sat 12Sep 13Mon 14Tue 15Wed 16405060708090100%93.70%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 98.6% in 14d (97.4–99.2%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$863
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 93.7%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price93.70%
Spread + depth+4.81 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability98.51%
1015
Shares
$15
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.4¢ (0.4%)
Mid Price
93.7¢
Total Depth
$1,475
Bid/Ask Imbalance
42% bid
Bids (Buy)
93.5¢58
93.4¢40
92.9¢70
92.2¢10
91.0¢50
90.0¢25
89.4¢20
87.0¢20
Asks (Sell)
93.9¢66
94.0¢20
94.2¢20
94.4¢66
97.9¢20
98.0¢20
98.1¢20
98.9¢17
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
93.98¢+0.08%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
98.51¢+4.91%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
98.51¢+4.91%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Trump praise Xi Jinping in September?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 93.70%, based on $863 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.