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AI · Polymarket

AI bubble burst in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
11.85%
10.2% calibrated
Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 1768101214161820%11.85%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 10.6% in 14d (9.1–12.4%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$12.0K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 11.8%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price11.85%
Spread + depth+7.90 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability19.75%
5063
Shares
$4,063
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.8%)
Mid Price
11.8¢
Total Depth
$151,988
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
11.8¢43
11.7¢10
11.6¢107
11.1¢112
10.7¢96
10.6¢129
10.1¢200
10.0¢161
Asks (Sell)
11.9¢46
19.2¢60
19.4¢130
19.5¢20
19.6¢200
19.7¢10
19.8¢2,042
19.9¢5,965
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
18.86¢+58.49%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
19.75¢+65.98%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
41.38¢+247.77%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "AI bubble burst in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 11.85%, based on $12.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.