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Culture · Polymarket

Set Handicap: Federico Cina (-1.5) vs Alexandre Muller (+1.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
33.00%
01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMFri 2501 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM25303540455055606570%33.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$5.8K

Your call

The market says 33.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price33.00%
Spread + depth+8.98 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability41.98%
2382
Shares
$1,382
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (6.1%)
Mid Price
33.0¢
Total Depth
$44,663
Bid/Ask Imbalance
49% bid
Bids (Buy)
32.0¢600
31.0¢741
30.0¢12,361
29.0¢11,101
28.0¢7,865
27.0¢7,796
26.0¢5
25.0¢5,600
Asks (Sell)
34.0¢1,194
48.0¢30
49.0¢240
50.0¢625
51.0¢725
52.0¢800
67.0¢1,953
68.0¢3,006
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
34.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
41.98¢+23.46%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
63.15¢+85.73%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Set Handicap: Federico Cina (-1.5) vs Alexandre Muller (+1.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 33.00%, based on $5.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 2, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.