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Culture · Polymarket

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
18.50%
09 PMFri 2503 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSat 2603 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PMSep 2703 AM06 AM09 AM12 PM03 PM06 PM09 PM46810121416182022242628%18.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$81.8K

Your call

The market says 18.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price18.50%
Spread + depth+6.20 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability24.70%
4048
Shares
$3,048
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (5.4%)
Mid Price
18.5¢
Total Depth
$12,960
Bid/Ask Imbalance
20% bid
Bids (Buy)
18.0¢209
17.0¢186
16.0¢502
15.0¢329
14.0¢504
13.0¢208
12.0¢1,500
11.0¢2,919
Asks (Sell)
19.0¢156
20.0¢225
21.0¢206
22.0¢373
23.0¢320
24.0¢748
25.0¢394
26.0¢388
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
19.93¢+4.89%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
24.70¢+30.01%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
59.91¢+215.34%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 18.50%, based on $81.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 28, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.