71.50%
Current Fed Funds Rate3.63%as of 2026-07-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 71.5% on "Fed rate hike in 2026?", backed by $149.2K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $149.2K
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (1.4%)
Mid Price
71.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$574,479
Bid/Ask Imbalance
26% bid
Bids (Buy)
71.0¢10
70.0¢3,227
69.0¢9,860
68.0¢104,460
67.0¢9,545
66.0¢2,936
65.0¢1,998
64.0¢2,999
Asks (Sell)
72.0¢19,888
73.0¢8,009
74.0¢16,883
75.0¢46,428
76.0¢31,100
77.0¢739
78.0¢486
79.0¢314
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
72.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
72.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
72.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):
Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
40.00%Same bet?
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Fed rate hike in 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 71.50%, based on $149.2K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.