Economics · Polymarket
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Trade on Polymarket →46.50%
Current Fed Funds Rate3.63%as of 2026-07-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 53.5% on "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?", backed by $474.0K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $474.0K
- Momentum
- -0.00pt/day
Live Order Book Depth
Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
46.5¢
Total Depth (shown levels)
$2,980,911
Bid/Ask Imbalance
17% bid
Bids (Buy)
46.0¢71,540
45.0¢32,499
44.0¢224,769
43.0¢270,455
42.0¢483,520
41.0¢8,016
40.0¢6,372
39.0¢219
Asks (Sell)
47.0¢60,580
48.0¢19,750
49.0¢36,780
50.0¢102,052
51.0¢13,235
52.0¢23,760
53.0¢7,919
54.0¢34,429
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
47.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
47.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
47.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Economics Markets
Polymarket▼ 0.1024H
0.55%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.55%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $296.9K
Polymarket▲ 0.2024H
0.85%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.85%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $553.7K
Polymarket0.25%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
0.25%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $147.9K
Polymarket▼ 2.0024H
51.50%-106
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
51.50%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $845.8K
Polymarket▼ 0.3024H
87.65%-710
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
87.65%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL $66.7K
Manifold9.94%+906
Will real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% per year by the end of 2033?
9.94%Live price only —
no history published
no history published
VOL 64 Mana
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 46.50%, based on $474.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.