Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Economics · Polymarket

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
88.50%
Current Fed Funds Rate3.63%as of 2026-07-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 138082848688909294%88.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 88.9% in 14d (87.4–90.2%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$22.4K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.2¢ (0.2%)
Mid Price
88.5¢
Total Depth
$4,169,701
Bid/Ask Imbalance
9% bid
Bids (Buy)
88.4¢150
88.3¢1,070
88.2¢6,515
88.1¢18,752
88.0¢8,633
87.9¢200
87.8¢5,020
87.7¢1,240
Asks (Sell)
88.6¢1,042
88.7¢1,015
88.8¢544
88.9¢7,586
89.0¢78,948
89.1¢24,604
89.2¢2,099
89.3¢5,580
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
88.60¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
88.61¢+0.01%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
88.86¢+0.29%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
40.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 88.50%, based on $22.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around December 31, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.