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Economics · Polymarket

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.65%
Current Fed Funds Rate3.63%as of 2026-07-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1300.511.522.533.54%0.65%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 0.6% in 14d (0.4–0.8%)-0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$662.3K
Momentum
-0.00pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (15.4%)
Mid Price
0.7¢
Total Depth
$22,188,372
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.6¢10,543
0.5¢54,627
0.4¢506,119
0.3¢418,350
0.2¢2,731,434
0.1¢5,374,574
Asks (Sell)
0.7¢25,016
0.8¢3,575
0.9¢49,319
1.0¢86,910
1.1¢196,455
1.2¢454
1.3¢434
1.4¢434
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
0.70¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
0.88¢+26.25%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
1.50¢+113.92%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
38.10%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.65%, based on $662.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 16, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.