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Sports · Polymarket

Will Panama win on 2026-09-25?

Trade on Polymarket →
77.50%
Sep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PM3540455055606570758085%77.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$57.6K

Your call

The market says 77.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price77.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability78.00%
1282
Shares
$282
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.3%)
Mid Price
77.5¢
Total Depth
$287,830
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
77.0¢7,550
76.0¢13,258
75.0¢16,879
74.0¢18,391
73.0¢2,696
72.0¢2,845
71.0¢2,343
70.0¢277
Asks (Sell)
78.0¢30,384
79.0¢10,880
80.0¢15,623
81.0¢17,257
82.0¢18,530
83.0¢16,729
84.0¢18,601
85.0¢5,000
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
78.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 7 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

PanamaViewing
77.50%
France
73.50%
Poland
63.50%
Georgia
53.50%
Türkiye
10.50%
Brazil
0.05%
Australia
0.05%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Panama win on 2026-09-25?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 77.50%, based on $57.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 25, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.