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Politics · Kalshi

Will John Brendan Williams qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?

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99.00%
Jun 14Jun 21Jun 28Jul 05Jul 12Jul 19Jul 26Aug 02Aug 09Aug 16Aug 23Aug 300102030405060708090100%99.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$0

Your call

The market says 99.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price99.00%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.04% of stake
Break-even probability99.53%
1005
Shares
$5
Net if it wins

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Chris Pappas win the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Primary for Senate?
95.00%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will John Brendan Williams qualify for the runoff in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 99.00%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around May 19, 2026, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.