At least 250 billion — Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?
Trade on Kalshi →Executive Briefing
Live Kalshi consensus prices "No" at 92.75% on "At least 250 billion — Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?", backed by $3 in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $3
- Momentum
- +0.00pt/day
Your call
The market says 7.3%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Economics Markets
PolymarketWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
no history published
PolymarketWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
no history published
PolymarketWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
no history published
PolymarketWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
no history published
PolymarketWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
no history published
Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "At least 250 billion — Will government spending decrease by $250 billion before 2028?"?
As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 7.25%, based on $3 in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around March 31, 2029, per Kalshi's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.