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Sports · Kalshi

Will Albania win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?

Trade on Kalshi →
0.50%
0.00% fee-adjusted
04 AM00.511.522.53%0.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$0

Your call

The market says 0.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
KalshiLive best ask
Quoted price0.50%
Spread + depth0.00 pts
Fee6.96% of stake
Break-even probability0.53%
200000
Shares
$198,930
Net if it wins

Other Real Candidates — 61 Total

Every other real Kalshi contract for this exact same question, ranked by real live probability.

France
11.55%
Spain
11.50%
England
7.05%
Brazil
6.05%
Argentina
5.95%
Germany
4.55%
Portugal
4.05%
Italy
3.65%
Netherlands
3.35%
USA
2.30%
Morocco
2.15%
Mexico
1.85%
Belgium
1.35%
Norway
1.35%
Iraq
1.00%
Finland
1.00%
Colombia
0.85%
Japan
0.80%
Scotland
0.50%
Paraguay
0.50%
Poland
0.50%
AlbaniaViewing
0.50%
Sweden
0.50%
Croatia
0.50%
Nigeria
0.50%
Peru
0.50%
Korea Republic
0.45%
Uruguay
0.45%
Haiti
0.40%
Senegal
0.40%
Jordan
0.40%
Costa Rica
0.40%
Honduras
0.40%
Qatar
0.35%
Turkiye
0.35%
Austria
0.35%
Ghana
0.35%
Chile
0.35%
Czechia
0.30%
Switzerland
0.30%
Canada
0.30%
Australia
0.30%
Ecuador
0.30%
Ivory Coast
0.30%
Ukraine
0.30%
Egypt
0.30%
Cape Verde
0.30%
Congo DR
0.30%
Greece
0.30%
United Arab Emirates
0.30%
Ireland
0.25%
Denmark
0.25%
Curacao
0.25%
Venezuela
0.25%
Kosovo
0.20%
Romania
0.20%
Israel
0.20%
North Macedonia
0.15%
Burkina Faso
0.15%
Slovakia
0.10%
Saudi Arabia
0.10%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Albania win the 2030 FIFA Men's World Cup?"?

As of the latest update, Kalshi prices this at 0.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 1, 2031, per Kalshi's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Kalshi. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.