Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?
Trade on Manifold →Executive Briefing
Live Manifold consensus prices "Yes" at 80.5% on "Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?", backed by 350 Mana in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- 350 Mana
Your call
The market says 80.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
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True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
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Compare Across Platforms
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will China's suspension of its October 2025 rare-earth export controls still be in effect on November 30, 2026?"?
As of the latest update, Manifold prices this at 80.50%, based on 350 Mana in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 30, 2026, per Manifold's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Manifold. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.