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Sports · Polymarket

Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals

Trade on Polymarket →
59.50%
Sat 2912 PMAug 3012 PMMon 3112 PMSeptember12 PMWed 0212 PMThu 0312 PMFri 0412 PMSat 0512 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 10203040506070%27.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 27.7% in 6d (22.6–33.5%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$159.8K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 59.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price59.50%
Spread + depth−22.95 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability36.55%
2736
Shares
$1,736
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
2.0¢ (6.5%)
Mid Price
31.0¢
Total Depth
$21,046
Bid/Ask Imbalance
5% bid
Bids (Buy)
30.0¢143
29.0¢510
28.0¢1,499
27.0¢180
26.0¢90
20.0¢230
9.0¢220
8.0¢260
Asks (Sell)
32.0¢1,426
33.0¢455
34.0¢312
35.0¢562
56.0¢215
57.0¢283
61.0¢1,005
62.0¢1,450
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
32.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
34.28¢+7.13%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
68.86¢+115.19%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 59.50%, based on $159.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 10, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.