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Sports · Polymarket

Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5

Trade on Polymarket →
59.00%
57.4% calibrated
10 PM11 PMThu 0301 AM02 AM03 AM04 AM05 AM06 AM07 AM08 AM09 AM10 AM11 AM12 PM01 PM02 PM03 PM04 PM05 PM06 PM07 PM08 PM09 PM10 PM11 PMFri 044244464850525456%49.00%

Stats

24h Volume
$183.6K

Your call

The market says 59.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price59.00%
Spread + depth+20.00 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability79.00%
1266
Shares
$266
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
3.0¢ (6.3%)
Mid Price
47.5¢
Total Depth
$1,028
Bid/Ask Imbalance
42% bid
Bids (Buy)
46.0¢148
43.0¢49
42.0¢17
36.0¢142
35.0¢22
34.0¢700
8.0¢263
7.0¢6
Asks (Sell)
49.0¢50
50.0¢15
53.0¢86
54.0¢17
81.0¢20
82.0¢172
83.0¢215
84.0¢12
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
54.25¢+10.71%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
78.95¢+61.11%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
78.95¢+61.11%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Miami Marlins vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 59.00%, based on $183.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 3, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.