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Sports · Polymarket

Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants

Trade on Polymarket →
74.50%
Thu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2412 PMFri 2512 PMSat 2612 PMSep 2712 PMMon 2812 PMTue 292030405060708090100%91.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 93.4% in 6d (89.7–95.9%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$210.3K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 74.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price74.50%
Spread + depth+16.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability91.00%
1099
Shares
$99
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
90.5¢
Total Depth
$106,323
Bid/Ask Imbalance
50% bid
Bids (Buy)
90.0¢2,440
89.0¢21,576
88.0¢294
87.0¢2,055
86.0¢386
83.0¢8
81.0¢10
75.0¢104
Asks (Sell)
91.0¢25,287
92.0¢6,878
93.0¢744
94.0¢122
95.0¢475
96.0¢13
97.0¢161
98.0¢1,168
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
91.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
91.00¢-0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
91.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldMLB: Giants vs Twins
47.56%
Same bet?

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 74.50%, based on $210.3K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 30, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.