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Culture · Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
84.00%
Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 1330405060708090100%84.00%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 91.0% in 14d (82.6–95.6%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$176
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
12.0¢ (14.3%)
Mid Price
84.0¢
Total Depth
$11,054
Bid/Ask Imbalance
93% bid
Bids (Buy)
78.0¢31
77.0¢491
76.0¢500
73.0¢500
68.0¢10
67.0¢12
66.0¢500
65.0¢1,000
Asks (Sell)
90.0¢31
93.0¢11
94.0¢68
95.0¢86
96.0¢295
97.0¢263
98.0¢16
99.0¢39
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
92.75¢+3.06%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
95.97¢+6.63%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
95.97¢+6.63%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 30, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 84.00%, based on $176 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around October 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.