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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: SF (-12.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
50.50%
49.6% calibrated
Wed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 202025303540455055606570%50.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 56.1% in 2d (49.4–62.5%)+0.03pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$52.9K
Momentum
+0.03pt/day

Your call

The market says 50.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price50.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability51.00%
1961
Shares
$961
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.0%)
Mid Price
50.5¢
Total Depth
$134,553
Bid/Ask Imbalance
50% bid
Bids (Buy)
50.0¢34,133
49.0¢53,508
48.0¢32,564
47.0¢15,386
44.0¢50
33.0¢775
30.0¢80
29.0¢2,153
Asks (Sell)
51.0¢16,087
52.0¢44,588
53.0¢33,035
54.0¢13,058
55.0¢8,744
56.0¢2,598
58.0¢75
59.0¢25
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
51.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
51.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
51.18¢+0.35%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: SF (-12.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 50.50%, based on $52.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 20, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.