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Sports · Polymarket

Spread: LA (-9.5)

Trade on Polymarket →
44.50%
Wed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 213840424446485052%44.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 42.2% in 3d (39.5–45.0%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$55.9K
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 44.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price44.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability45.00%
2222
Shares
$1,222
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.2%)
Mid Price
44.5¢
Total Depth
$47,563
Bid/Ask Imbalance
60% bid
Bids (Buy)
44.0¢12,774
43.0¢746
42.0¢27,742
41.0¢7,519
40.0¢12,400
39.0¢3,500
38.0¢1,000
33.0¢784
Asks (Sell)
45.0¢17,452
46.0¢9,659
47.0¢7,500
49.0¢325
61.0¢25
69.0¢260
74.0¢2,414
75.0¢268
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
45.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
45.21¢+0.47%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Spread: LA (-9.5)"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 44.50%, based on $55.9K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 22, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.