Skip to content
Live odds aggregated fromPolymarket logoPolymarketKalshi logoKalshiManifold logoManifoldPredictIt logoPredictItLimitless logoLimitlessSmarkets logoSmarketsFutuurSee ranked by volume →
Economics · Polymarket

No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?

Trade on Polymarket →
96.95%
Mon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 1586889092949698100%96.95%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 97.9% in 14d (96.6–98.7%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$4.8K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 97.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
Take a position

Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.

True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price96.95%
Spread + depth+0.59 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability97.54%
1025
Shares
$25
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.1¢ (0.1%)
Mid Price
97.0¢
Total Depth
$14,705
Bid/Ask Imbalance
24% bid
Bids (Buy)
96.9¢139
96.6¢40
96.5¢778
96.4¢400
96.0¢666
94.6¢112
94.2¢40
93.9¢40
Asks (Sell)
97.0¢5
97.5¢576
97.6¢623
98.0¢734
98.4¢84
98.9¢503
99.0¢2,360
99.6¢800
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
97.48¢+0.49%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
97.54¢+0.56%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
99.15¢+2.21%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in September 2026?
54.75%
Same bet?

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 96.95%, based on $4.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 17, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.