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Politics · Polymarket

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?

Trade on Polymarket →
0.40%
Fri 21Sat 22Aug 23Mon 24Tue 25Wed 26Thu 27Fri 28Sat 29Aug 30Mon 31SeptemberWed 02Thu 03Fri 04Sat 05Sep 06Mon 070102030405060%0.40%

Stats

24h Volume
$25.0K

Your call

The market says 0.4%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price0.50%
Spread + depth+15.94 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability16.44%
6081
Shares
$5,081
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
0.6¢ (150.0%)
Mid Price
0.4¢
Total Depth
$74,012
Bid/Ask Imbalance
0% bid
Bids (Buy)
0.1¢109
Asks (Sell)
0.7¢86
0.9¢33
1.0¢3,553
3.0¢555
3.5¢241
12.0¢50
18.0¢5
46.4¢10
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
2.18¢+211.88%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
16.44¢+2249.17%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
53.61¢+7558.59%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 23%?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 0.40%, based on $25.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 6, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.