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Culture · Polymarket

AC Monza leading at halftime?

Trade on Polymarket →
26.50%
12 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PM10152025303540455055%26.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 23.4% in 3d (17.2–31.0%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 26.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price26.50%
Spread + depth+9.13 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability35.63%
2806
Shares
$1,806
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (3.8%)
Mid Price
26.5¢
Total Depth
$4,811
Bid/Ask Imbalance
16% bid
Bids (Buy)
26.0¢124
25.0¢50
24.0¢525
23.0¢500
22.0¢525
21.0¢505
14.0¢78
13.0¢216
Asks (Sell)
27.0¢124
28.0¢500
29.0¢525
30.0¢500
32.0¢25
33.0¢5
37.0¢704
60.0¢1,583
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
27.66¢+2.43%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
35.63¢+31.97%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
62.23¢+130.48%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "AC Monza leading at halftime?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 26.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 18, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.