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Culture · Polymarket

AC Monza to win the second half?

Trade on Polymarket →
29.50%
12 PMSep 0612 PMMon 0712 PMTue 0812 PMWed 0912 PMThu 1012 PMFri 1112 PMSat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PM10152025303540455055%29.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 27.6% in 3d (18.9–38.3%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$0
Momentum
-0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 29.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

Is this price right?
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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price29.50%
Spread + depth+65.17 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability94.67%
1056
Shares
$56
Net if it wins

The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
13.0¢ (44.1%)
Mid Price
29.5¢
Total Depth
$220
Bid/Ask Imbalance
2% bid
Bids (Buy)
23.0¢5
4.0¢13
3.0¢50
2.0¢5
1.0¢28
Asks (Sell)
36.0¢5
90.0¢15
91.0¢50
97.0¢8
98.0¢120
99.0¢30
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
90.82¢+152.28%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
94.67¢+162.96%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully
$10,000 order
94.67¢+162.96%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "AC Monza to win the second half?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 29.50%, based on $0 in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 18, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.