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Sports · Polymarket

Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?

Trade on Polymarket →
37.50%
38.8% calibrated
Sat 1212 PMSep 1312 PMMon 1412 PMTue 1512 PMWed 1612 PMThu 1712 PMFri 1812 PMSat 1912 PMSep 2012 PMMon 2112 PMTue 2212 PMWed 2312 PMThu 2430354045505560657075%37.50%

Stats

24h Volume
$40.6K

Your call

The market says 37.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price37.50%
Spread + depth+0.50 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability38.00%
2632
Shares
$1,632
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.7%)
Mid Price
37.5¢
Total Depth
$247,780
Bid/Ask Imbalance
23% bid
Bids (Buy)
37.0¢5,144
36.0¢11,749
35.0¢25,602
34.0¢46,805
33.0¢50,158
32.0¢14,647
31.0¢13,097
30.0¢30
Asks (Sell)
38.0¢91,675
39.0¢86,957
40.0¢33,063
41.0¢26,419
42.0¢19,436
43.0¢10,045
44.0¢7,641
45.0¢6,355
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
38.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
38.00¢+0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
38.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage

Full Race — 10 Real Candidates

Every other Polymarket contract for this same real-world race, ranked by real live probability.

Japan
65.50%
Norway
53.50%
Korea Republic
41.50%
NetherlandsViewing
37.50%
Germany
37.50%
Denmark
22.50%
Israel
12.50%
Uruguay
11.50%
Wales
4.50%
Maldives
1.35%

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-24?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 37.50%, based on $40.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 24, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.