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Politics · Polymarket

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?

Trade on Polymarket →
41.50%
Fri 31AugustMon 03Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 110102030405060708090100%41.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 29.1% in 14d (18.3–43.0%)-0.02pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$18.5K
Momentum
-0.02pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (2.4%)
Mid Price
41.5¢
Total Depth
$295,238
Bid/Ask Imbalance
29% bid
Bids (Buy)
41.0¢1,045
40.0¢1,872
39.0¢2,821
38.0¢2,496
37.0¢4,800
36.0¢2,143
35.0¢625
34.0¢1,160
Asks (Sell)
42.0¢553
43.0¢821
44.0¢8,564
45.0¢720
46.0¢30
47.0¢35
48.0¢426
49.0¢50
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
42.00¢0.00%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
43.17¢+2.78%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
49.52¢+17.91%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 41.50%, based on $18.5K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 1, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.