Politics · Polymarket

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?

13.50%

Model projection: 9.6% in 14d (6.8–13.5%)-0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 86.5% on "US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?", backed by $56.7K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $56.7K
Momentum: -0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

1.0¢ (7.4%)

Mid Price

13.5¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$165,178

Bid/Ask Imbalance

8% bid

Bids (Buy)

13.0¢12,876

12.0¢11,647

11.0¢50,334

10.0¢4,337

9.0¢50

8.0¢450

7.0¢1,450

6.0¢4,785

Asks (Sell)

14.0¢7,732

15.0¢3,515

16.0¢4,941

17.0¢4,516

18.0¢3,914

19.0¢413

20.0¢673

21.0¢11

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

14.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

14.00¢0.00%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

25.94¢+85.31%

avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

Manifold🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election?

49.66%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 13.50%, based on $56.7K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 22, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.