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Sports · Polymarket

Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?

Trade on Polymarket →
96.70%
Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 17Sat 19Mon 21Wed 23Fri 25Sep 27Tue 29OctoberSat 03Mon 05Wed 07767880828486889092949698100%96.70%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 97.1% in 14d (95.5–98.2%)+0.00pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$138.6K
Momentum
+0.00pt/day

Your call

The market says 96.7%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price96.70%
Spread + depth+2.07 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability98.77%
1012
Shares
$12
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.0%)
Mid Price
96.7¢
Total Depth
$2,832
Bid/Ask Imbalance
37% bid
Bids (Buy)
96.2¢64
96.1¢32
92.0¢50
86.7¢115
86.6¢52
80.9¢232
80.8¢704
2.5¢40
Asks (Sell)
97.2¢64
97.3¢20
97.7¢37
98.9¢820
99.5¢20
99.6¢25
99.7¢147
99.8¢220
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
97.31¢+0.11%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
98.77¢+1.61%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
99.23¢+2.09%
avg fill · slippage
Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 96.70%, based on $138.6K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around November 15, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.