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AI · Polymarket

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

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87.50%
Wed 05Fri 07Aug 09Tue 11Thu 13Sat 15Mon 17Wed 19Fri 21Aug 23Tue 25Thu 27Sat 29Mon 31SeptemberThu 03Sat 05Mon 07Wed 09Fri 11Sep 13Tue 15Thu 172030405060708090100%87.50%MODEL PROJECTION
Model projection: 93.0% in 14d (90.3–94.9%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Stats

24h Volume
$11.8K
Momentum
+0.01pt/day

Your call

The market says 87.5%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.

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True cost to trade

The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.

Side
Order
PolymarketLive order book
Quoted price87.50%
Spread + depth+1.46 pts
Fee0.00% of stake
Break-even probability88.96%
1124
Shares
$124
Net if it wins

Live Order Book Depth

Spread
1.0¢ (1.1%)
Mid Price
87.5¢
Total Depth
$42,250
Bid/Ask Imbalance
28% bid
Bids (Buy)
87.0¢174
86.0¢1,291
85.0¢160
84.0¢1,449
83.0¢520
82.0¢2,060
81.0¢2,886
78.0¢9
Asks (Sell)
88.0¢50
89.0¢1,665
90.0¢1,153
91.0¢4,251
92.0¢10,201
93.0¢885
94.0¢5,542
95.0¢950
Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"
walking the real book
$100 order
88.56¢+0.63%
avg fill · slippage
$1,000 order
88.96¢+1.09%
avg fill · slippage
$10,000 order
90.93¢+3.33%
avg fill · slippage

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 87.50%, based on $11.8K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around July 1, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.