Economics · Polymarket

Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?

Q: What is the current probability for "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?"?

As of the latest build, live consensus prices this at 46%. See the live page for real-time odds and full price history.

Q: Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket — see the link on this page for the live order book.

Trade on Polymarket →

46.00%

Current CPI Inflation (YoY)3.3%as of 2026-07-01· via FRED (St. Louis Fed)

Model projection: 50.2% in 14d (41.6–58.8%)+0.01pt/dayaccuracy →

Executive Briefing

Live Polymarket consensus prices "No" at 54% on "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?", backed by $2.0K in 24h trading volume.

Stats

24h Volume: $2.0K
Momentum: +0.01pt/day

Live Order Book Depth

Spread

6.0¢ (13.0%)

Mid Price

46.0¢

Total Depth (shown levels)

$6,549

Bid/Ask Imbalance

1% bid

Bids (Buy)

43.0¢60

39.0¢3

20.0¢47

19.0¢62

18.0¢55

9.0¢37

7.0¢20

6.0¢100

Asks (Sell)

49.0¢46

50.0¢40

52.0¢80

54.0¢10

55.0¢20

56.0¢60

57.0¢60

61.0¢45

Estimated Slippage to Buy "Yes"

walking the real book

$100 order

51.28¢+4.65%

avg fill · slippage

$1,000 order

64.19¢+31.01%

avg fill · slippage

$10,000 order

90.19¢+84.06%

avg fill · slippage

Book too thin to fill fully

Compare Across Platforms

Not listed on another platform we track — but this looks like it might be the same real-world bet (unconfirmed):

ManifoldWill Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026?

38.00%

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the current probability for "Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%?"?

As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 46.00%, based on $2.0K in tracked 24h trading volume.

When does this market close?

This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around January 10, 2027, per Polymarket's listed close time.

Where can I trade this market?

This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.

Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?

Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.