Executive Briefing
Live Polymarket consensus prices "Yes" at 80% on "Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?", backed by $1.4K in 24h trading volume.
Stats
- 24h Volume
- $1.4K
Your call
The market says 80.0%. Disagree cheaply, or put a record behind it.
Sign in to take a position at the live price and have it scored — Brier, skill, and a personal calibration curve on your portfolio. Play money; no payment details anywhere on this site.
True cost to trade
The quoted price is not what anyone pays. Below it is the same trade with the spread crossed, the depth consumed and the venue's own fee paid — the break-even probability a buyer would actually need to believe.
The book cannot fill this whole order. The figures above cover only the part that would fill — the rest has no price on this venue right now.
Live Order Book Depth
Compare Across Platforms
Not listed on another platform we track (or no confident match found).
Similar Culture Markets
ManifoldPangram say average feed <50% human by 1 March 2027?
no history published
PolymarketWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?
no history published
Polymarket
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
no history published
PolymarketWill Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's US Open?
no history published
PolymarketLindsay Clancy convicted of murder in 2026?
no history published
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
no history published
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the current probability for "Will JD Vance say "Manufacturing" during RNC Convention?"?
As of the latest update, Polymarket prices this at 80.00%, based on $1.4K in tracked 24h trading volume.
When does this market close?
This contract is scheduled to resolve on or around September 9, 2026, per Polymarket's listed close time.
Where can I trade this market?
This contract trades live on Polymarket. You can view the live order book and trade it directly at the source link on this page.
Is this market listed on other prediction platforms?
Not currently listed on another platform PredictRankd tracks (Kalshi, Manifold, PredictIt, Limitless, Smarkets, Futuur), or no confidently-verified match was found.